Rental Income Over Time: How Rent Growth Drives Your Returns
See how rising rents, rising expenses and appreciation shape a rental property's cash flow and total return over the years, with a free rent calculator.
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Free tool: Rent CalculatorA rental property's first-year numbers are only the start. Rent usually rises over time, so do expenses, and the property's value changes too. Small differences in those growth rates add up over a decade. This guide shows how, with a worked example for a property bought with cash, using the free Rent Calculator.
How rental income grows
Each year:
- Rent rises by your expected rent increase.
- Expenses such as taxes, insurance and maintenance rise by their own rate.
- Cash flow is the rent minus the expenses.
- The property value grows with appreciation.
Your total return is the property's gain in value plus all the cash flow you've collected.
Example: a $250,000 rental bought with cash
You buy a property for $250,000 in cash. It rents for $2,000 a month, rising 3% a year; expenses are $800 a month, rising 2% a year; and the property appreciates 4% a year:
- First-year cash flow: $14,400, a 5.8% yield on the price
- Tenth-year cash flow: $19,842, because rent grows faster than expenses
- Cash flow over 10 years: $170,016
- Property value after 10 years: $370,061
- Total return: $290,077, an annualized 8.0%
Small growth rates, big differences
- If expenses grow 4% and rent only 2%, the tenth-year cash flow is just $15,018 and the 10-year annualized return falls to 7.5%.
- If the property appreciates 2% instead of 4%, it's worth about $304,749 after 10 years and the return falls to 6.6% a year.
Be realistic about local rent growth and about costs that tend to rise quickly, such as insurance and property tax.
What the calculator assumes
- A cash purchase: the initial investment is the price you pay, with no mortgage. For a financed rental, see How to Analyze a Rental Property.
- Expenses you enter include everything: add vacancy, repairs, management and HOA fees to the monthly expenses.
- Cash flow isn't reinvested, and taxes, closing costs and selling costs are left out.
How to use the Rent Calculator
- Open the Rent Calculator.
- Enter the monthly rent and the yearly rent increase.
- Enter the monthly expenses and how fast you expect them to rise.
- Enter the initial investment (the price you pay in cash), the yearly appreciation and the holding period.
- Read the results: the monthly cash flow, the total cash flow, the final property value and the annualized ROI, with a chart of property value, cash flow and total return over time and a yearly breakdown.
Frequently asked questions
How much do rents increase each year?
Nationally, rents have tended to rise 2% to 4% a year on average, roughly with inflation, though some markets rise much faster and some cities cap increases.
What is a good rental yield?
Many investors look for a net yield, cash flow ÷ price, of at least 5% to 8% on an all-cash purchase, depending on the area and the risk. The example yields 5.8% in its first year.
Should rent increases or appreciation matter more?
Both matter. Over 10 years in the example, cash flow adds $170,016 and appreciation adds $120,061. Rent growth also raises cash flow every year.